Saturday, May 31, 2014

Best Financial Stocks To Invest In Right Now

Best Financial Stocks To Invest In Right Now: FXCM Inc. (FXCM)

FXCM Inc., through its subsidiaries, provides online foreign exchange (FX) trading and related services to retail and institutional customers worldwide. It operates in two segments, Retail Trading and Institutional Trading. The company acts as an agent between retail customers and a collection of global banks and financial institutions by making foreign currency markets for customers trading in foreign exchange spot markets. It offers spot FX trading in approximately 58 currency pairs; enables non-U.S. customers to trade contract for differences that include contracts for metals, fixed income, energy and stock indices; and provides spread betting trading to the United Kingdom customers. The company also offers equity and equity option trading for customers outside of the United States to trade equity and options on the United Kingdom, continental Europe, and the United States markets. FXCM Inc. offers its customers access to over-the-counter FX markets through its propriet ary technology platform. The company was incorporated in 2010 and is headquartered in New York, New York.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Anna Prior]

    FXCM Inc.(FXCM) said its fourth-quarter profit dropped slightly amid a muted trading environment, although results beat Wall Street expectations. FXCM makes most of its top line from customers using its software to trade currencies online.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/best-financial-stocks-to-invest-in-right-now.html

Friday, May 30, 2014

Canada’s Key LNG Players Form an Alliance

Print Friendly

Last week's announcement of Russia's USD400 billion deal to export its natural gas to China has global liquefied natural gas (LNG) players scrambling.

The good news, as we noted last week, is that as staggering as the numbers are, the 30-year contract between Russia's state-controlled OAO Gazprom and the state-owned China National Petroleum Corp (CNPC) will fulfill just 9 percent of projected Chinese gas demand by the time natural gas starts flowing through East Siberian pipelines toward the end of this decade.

And the Chinese are shrewd enough to know that the Russians are only as dependable as current exigencies allow. In other words, they understand the importance of diversification when it comes to meeting the country's critical energy demands. So while Canada's political and regulatory process is proceeding at a glacial pace, the country's relative stability is a welcome complement to its resource riches.

Besides China, the Asia-Pacific region includes other major consumers of natural gas, including Japan, South Korea, India and Malaysia, all of which will need Canadian LNG.

Still, this landmark deal means the LNG market just got even more competitive than it was already. And there's a real possibility that Canada could squander some of its advantages if politics continue to get in the way.

Fortunately, the companies involved in developing Canada's LNG export infrastructure are now even more motivated to do what it takes to expedite the approval process. To that end, the companies behind four of coastal province British Columbia's largest LNG export projects have formed the B.C. LNG Developers Alliance to lobby the government for sensible policymaking, help each other navigate the thorny approval process, and avoid duplicate efforts when it comes to the infrastructure itself.

According to The Globe and Mail, the group's four members are: Petronas-led Pacific No! rthWest LNG, Shell Canada Energy-led LNG Canada, BG Group PLC's Prince Rupert LNG, and the Kitimat LNG project, which is co-owned by the Canadian units of Chevron Corp and Apache Corp.

Three smaller LNG projects are also considering joining the group. The alliance might also team with the Canadian Association of Petroleum Producers on issues related to drilling for natural gas.

For now, the fledgling group is not quite yet in launch mode. According to a representative from Kitimat LNG, alliance members are still working out the details involving governance, while staff need to be hired, including a leader, who will act as spokesperson for the group, as well as outside consultants.

The companies hope that by working together they'll be able to more easily secure the imprimatur of key constituencies, such as First Nations groups, environmentalists and labor unions, among others. Outreach efforts will include an LNG literacy program to address the sort of misconceptions that have hindered the approval process for other energy infrastructure projects, such as Enbridge's Northern Gateway pipeline.

And once they receive the blessing of these various groups, the companies behind these LNG projects could also negotiate with the provincial government as a collective entity, instead of on a one-on-one basis. There's a solid precedent for the collective approach, as it apparently helped facilitate the negotiations that led to the development of Alberta's oil sands.

Additionally, as these projects are approved, the alliance will also work toward ensuring a steady supply of skilled labor is available for both construction and operation, as labor shortages have plagued past ramp-ups in the energy sector.

According to a report issued last year by the B.C. Natural Gas Workforce Strategy Committee, LNG exports will require more than 100,000 new skilled workers: about 60,000 to build gas liquefaction plants starting in 2016 and 75,000 workers to operate them after they’! re built.!

Finally, LNG project stakeholders may even broker the sharing of certain pipelines, which would not only save on construction costs, but also help speed the approval process.

Nevertheless, the political and regulatory process remains formidable. And this likely means that only a few of the 14 LNG projects that have filed for export licenses with the country's National Energy Board will ever become operational.

For instance, according to Canada's Business News Network, Calgary-based investment bank Peters & Co Ltd believes that just one LNG export plant will be operational by the end of this decade, with "maybe" two on line by 2025.

AltaCorp Capital Inc notes that Petronas' Pacific NorthWest LNG and Shell Canada Energy's LNG Canada are the two presumptive leaders at the moment, though this could very well change, particularly if the provincial tax and compliance regime becomes so onerous that companies decide it's no longer economic to pursue these projects.

LNG projects must appease the provincial government, as well as the aforementioned constituencies, which enjoy considerable political clout. The B.C. government estimates the LNG industry will create at least 75,000 new jobs in the province, while it hopes taxes and royalties will help fund a CAD100 billion prosperity fund. At the same time, it hopes to allay the concerns of First Nations groups, as well as ensure that these projects are in compliance with stringent environmental regulations.

All of these demands add up. Companies investing in these massive multi-billion-dollar LNG projects must not only enjoy a rate of return that justifies their risk, but Asian buyers of LNG are becoming increasingly adamant that contracted commodities be delivered on time and within budget, as they've seen other developed-world energy projects hit by huge cost overruns.

The energy industry has already balked at the B.C. government's proposed tax of 7 percent on the income from LNG facilities after th! e recover! y of capital costs. That's just the latest tax on top of many others already proposed or in existence. And the resulting thicket of taxes has created extraordinary complexity for which the government still needs to provide clarity. That's not expected to happen until the B.C. legislature's fall session, at the earliest.

That timing is crucial, as Petronas is expected to make its final investment decision by year-end. And while the CEO's tough talk at a Vancouver energy conference last week may be just another negotiating tactic, there's definitely a point at which it will no longer make sense for the company to commit further resources to Canadian LNG.

Canada's federal government certainly is in favor of developing the country's LNG export market. And British Columbia clearly sees significant benefits for the province as well. But the provincial government is going to have to shake off its bureaucratic malaise by moving faster and making more concessions, or it will risk killing the golden goose.

Thursday, May 29, 2014

Hot India Companies To Invest In 2015

Hot India Companies To Invest In 2015: Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd(RDY)

Dr. Reddy?s Laboratories Limited, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a pharmaceutical company. It produces finished dosage forms, active pharmaceutical ingredients and intermediates, and biotechnology products. The company also conducts research in the areas of cancer, diabetes, cardiovascular, inflammation, and bacterial infection. In addition, it involves in the contract manufacture generic prescription and over-the-counter products for branded and generic companies in the United States. The company primarily focuses on therapeutic categories of cardiovascular, diabetes management, gastro-intestinal, and pain management. It markets its products in India, the United States, Europe, and the Russian Federation. The company has a co-development and commercialization agreement with Rheoscience A/S for the development and commercialization of Balaglitazone/DRF 2593, a partial PPAR-gamma agonist for the treatment of type 2 diabetes; an agreement with ClinTec Internatio nal for the development of an anti-cancer compound, DRF 1042; collaboration with the National Cancer Institute in Maryland; and an agreement with Argenta Discovery Limited for the joint development and commercialization of a novel approach to the treatment of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease. It also has an agreement with 7TM Pharma for drug discovery collaboration on selected drug targets; and an agreement with GlaxoSmithKline plc to develop and market pharmaceuticals for the treatment of cardiovascular disease, diabetes, oncology, gastroenterology, and pain management. Dr. Reddy?s Laboratories Limited was founded in 1984 and is headquartered in Hyderabad, India.

Advisors' Opinion:
  • [By Monica Gerson]

    Dr. Reddy's Laboratories (NYSE: RDY) is expected to report its Q4 earnings at $0.52 per share.

    YuMe (NYSE: YUME) is estimated to post a Q1 loss at $0.15 per share on revenue of $35.36 million.

  • source from Top Penny Stocks For 2015:http://www.seekpennystocks.com/hot-india-companies-to-invest-in-2015.html

Wednesday, May 28, 2014

The Tax Rules of Mutual Funds

Print Friendly

Mutual funds seem easy, and most investors believe they understand funds. But the income tax rules for funds are more involved than many people realize. Knowing the nuances of the rules is important. Taking different actions or changing their timing could improve your after-tax returns by a significant amount and preserve more of your nest egg.

Let's take a quick trip through some key parts of the tax code to learn ways to increase your after-tax returns from mutual funds. Of course, what we're going to discuss in this visit applies to mutual funds held in taxable accounts, not to funds held in qualified retirement plans, such as 401(k)s, traditional IRAs, and Roth IRAs.

The basic rule to understand is a mutual fund itself generally isn't taxed on its income or gains. To avoid taxes, each year a mutual fund has to pay out and pass through to its shareholders most of its net interest, dividends, and capital gains. You as the shareholder are taxed on your share of these items.

While this rule prevents double taxation of the investment returns, it sometimes causes problems. Your share of the income is determined by your ownership on the day the distribution is made. That results in the inequity of a shareholder purchasing shares of a mutual fund the day before a distribution and being taxed on the full amount of the distribution.

Example. Max Profits buys 1000 shares of a mutual fund on Dec. 29 for $15 per share. On Dec. 30 the fund makes its annual distribution of net capital gains and dividends realized for the year, amounting to $5 per share. This reduces the value of Max's shares by $5. He also has to include the $5 in his income for the year, though in his case it really is a return of his investment.

The first tax rule of mutual funds is don't invest in a fund just before a distribution. Most funds indicate their scheduled distribution dates on their web sites and to anyone who ! calls and asks. You need to be especially wary of making investments near the end of the calendar year and each calendar quarter. Income funds, such as bond funds, tend to make distributions at the end of each month.

When you are caught in this situation, an option is to sell the fund shares right after the distribution. In the example, Max Profits' tax basis in the shares still will be his purchase price of $15 per share, and their net asset value after the distribution will be $10. He can sell right away and have a $5 loss. Of course, this isn't a perfect solution. There might be transaction costs if he invested through a broker, and the fund might have a redemption fee for short-term holders. Plus, there's the value of Max's time.

Also, under the wash sale rules Max can't immediately buy back the fund shares if he wants to deduct the loss. He has to wait more than 30 days. In that time, the fund's share price might have moved significantly higher.

Avoid these problems. Avoid month-end fund purchases and check a fund's distribution schedule before making a purchase.

Buying the wrong mutual funds can prevent you from receiving the full benefit of tax-deferred compounding of investment returns. This is another effect of the way a fund passes through income and gains to shareholders.

Before choosing a fund, you should examine the turnover rate, or the rate at which it buys and sells investments. A fund with 100% turnover sells its entire portfolio and purchases other investments within a year.

The turnover rate is important because a fund distributes only its realized capital gains and other investment income. A stock fund with low turnover buys stocks and holds them for a long time, or at least longer than a year. As the stock appreciates, it is not selling the stock to realize the gains, and doesn't have to distribute its paper gains to shareholders. The fund shareholder can continue to own the fund shares, watch them appreciate, and not have to pay t! axes on t! he gains until he sells the fund shares.

But a fund with high turnover does a lot of buying and selling during the year. It realizes a lot of its capital gains and has to distribute them to shareholders. The share-holders have to include the distributed gains in their income for the year and lose the opportunity to let the gains compound tax-deferred.

Suppose two mutual funds have identical returns over time. But one is a low-turnover fund that makes few distributions to shareholders. The other is a high-turnover fund that distributes over half its annual return to shareholders. After a few years, the shareholders in the low turnover fund will be much better off. Their gains compound without being reduced by taxes each year, and when they sell the fund shares the gains will be taxed at favorable long-term capital gains rates.

Most published mutual fund returns generally are pre-tax. You can find after-tax returns for hypothetical shareholders in a fund's prospectus and in some services and web sites.

There's another downside to high turnover funds. Most of their gains tend to be short-term capital gains, because they held the shares for one year or less. When a mutual fund has long-term capital gains that it distributes, shareholders report these as long-term capital gains on their tax returns. But a fund's distributed short-term capital gains are reported as ordinary income on shareholders' tax returns. They are taxed at the shareholder's maximum marginal tax rate, plus they aren't offset by any capital losses the shareholder has.

The second tax rule of mutual funds is to avoid funds that have high-turnover ratios or a history of distributing a high percentage of their annual returns. If you must purchase such funds, do it through a tax-advantaged account such as an IRA.

For some, the solution is to own only passive or index mutual funds. That's generally a good solution, but it's not fool proof. All index funds are not the same. While Vanguard and ot! her mutua! l fund families work hard to keep expenses very low on their index funds, not all fund companies do. In addition, some funds track indexes not by purchasing the individual stocks but by using futures or options for at least part of their portfolios. These can create less favorable tax consequences.

The third tax rule of mutual funds is to examine index funds just as carefully as active funds before investing. Check expenses, distribution histories, and performance relative to the index. You'll find a surpris-ingly wide variation, especially for indexes other than large company stock indexes such as the S&P 500.

When you're a passive or index fund investor, you also should consider exchange-traded funds as well as traditional open-end mutual funds. Exchange-traded funds are able to use a few tricks to keep their expenses even lower than most open-end mutual funds. In addition, ETFs can use some tax strategies not available to open-end mutual funds.

The fourth tax rule of mutual funds is to compare open-end mutual funds and ETFs when considering an index or passive strategy.

Mutual funds don't pass through their realized losses. When a fund sells an investment at a loss, the loss can offset gains realized during the year and reduce the gains passed through to shareholders. A good fund manager takes this into consideration and will look for losses in its portfolio that can be taken to offset any gains it realizes. When a fund's losses exceed its gains during the year, as happened to most funds during 2008, the losses are carried forward and can offset future gains. That can enhance the attractiveness of a fund that's been down. It might be a value and turnaround opportunity, plus it could have carryforward losses to offset future gains.

The fifth tax rule of mutual funds is to check the prospectus for loss carryforwards.

Reinvesting fund distributions makes life easy, at first, but creates problems later. Shareholders still are taxed on the distributions, e! ven if th! ey don't receive the cash. But that's not the real problem.

Each time a distribution is reinvested, your basis in the new shares is their value on that date. Most people go for years holding a fund and reinvesting distributions. They have a bunch of shares bought at different times and different prices. When they're ready to make partial sales of their holdings to fund retirement, they have a complicated tax picture. They have to determine the tax basis and holding period of the shares sold.

The sixth tax rule of mutual funds is to avoid automatic reinvestment of distributions. Instead, let distributions accumulate in a money market fund. Then, use the account to rebalance your portfolio by purchasing new shares in funds that have lagged the others.

When you sell fund shares you need to know three things: the net sale price, the tax basis, and the holding period. Finding the last two items can be difficult when you've owned a fund for years, made a series of investments, and had distributions reinvested.

The IRS issued regulations in 2008 to make this easier. The fund family or broker has to report your cost basis and whether the gain is long-term or short-term. But the calculations are required only for mutual funds purchased in 2012 and later years. Some funds voluntarily report the amounts for shares purchased in earlier years. Also, the fund family or broker can choose how to compute the cost basis, and most use the average cost method.

But you can choose another method to compute the basis for your sale. For example, you can specifically identify the shares being sold. That allows you to choose the shares that have the highest basis and therefore the lowest capital gain. Or if you have a capital loss, you can choose the shares with the highest capital gain so that it is offset by the loss.

But to change the cost basis that is reported, you have to notify the broker or mutual fund in writing before the sale. The financial firm chooses the format in which y! ou have t! o make the writing. 

The seventh tax rule of mutual funds is to plan your sales. When you're selling a portion of your holdings, you can choose which shares are being sold in order to achieve the best tax results. But you have to work with the broker or mutual fund firm to ensure the firm reports the basis you want.

When the broker or fund issues the Form 1099 after the year, review it carefully right away. Your tax return has to match it. If the form is incorrect, you have to notify the financial firm and have a corrected version issued.

Foot Locker, Inc. (FL) Q1 Earnings Preview: Running High On Expectations

Foot Locker, Inc. (NYSE:FL) plans to report financial results for its first quarter ended May 3, 2014 before the U.S. markets open on Friday, May 23, 2014. A conference call is scheduled for the same day at 9:00 a.m. EDT, during which the Company will discuss these results. The Company will comment on the status of its current initiatives, and discuss trends in its business and the athletic industry.

Wall Street anticipates that the specialty retailer will earn $1.06 per share for the quarter, which is $0.15 more than last year's profit of $0.91 per share. iStock expects FL to top Wall Street's consensus number, the iEstimate is $1.07.

[Related -Foot Locker, Inc. (FL) Q4 Earnings Preview: Back To Its Winning Ways?]

Sales, like earnings, are expected move ahead, jumping forward by 9.3% year-over-year (YoY). Foot Locker's consensus revenue estimate for Q4 is $1.79 billion, which is more than last year's $1.64 billion.

Foot Locker operates as a retailer of athletic footwear and apparel. The company operates in two segments, Athletic Stores and Direct-to-Customers. The Athletic Stores segment retails athletic footwear, apparel, accessories, and equipment under various formats, including Foot Locker, Lady Foot Locker, Kids Foot Locker, Champs Sports, Footaction, and SIX:02, as well as Runners Point, Sidestep, and Run2. As of February 1, 2014, it operated 3,473 primarily mall-based stores in the United States, Canada, Europe, Australia, and New Zealand.

[Related -Foot Locker, Inc. (FL) Put Options Active As Stock Gets Stomped]

The Direct-to-Customers segment sell athletic footwear, apparel, equipment, team licensed products, private-label merchandise, and accessories through Internet Websites, catalogs, and mobile devices.

A few analysts feel good about Foot Locker heading into the announcement. Sterne Agee says Dicks's Sporting Goods saw strength in athletic apparel for women and kids along with footwear and team sports i.e. FL's wheelhouse.

Meanwhile, UBS says Foot Locker is going to earn $1.07 and sees same-store-sales increasing by 6% thanks to basketball sales, Nike prices increases, and improving European trends.

Running past Wall Street's consensus EPS estimate has been an easy exercise for Foot Locker. The athletic apparel and footwear seller has topped the street's outlook 12 of the last 16 quarters by an average of $0.075 more than expected. Thrice, earnings were lighter than forecasted, missing by -$0.02, -$0.03, and -$0.08. That leaves one on-target result.

While bullish surprises have dominated, EPS-driven price-sensitivity was more evenly mixed. Investors bought the news nine of the last 16 quarters with an average gain of 5.92%. Meanwhile, sellers took charge in the days surrounding an unlucky seven quarterly checkups, shaving off an average of -6.5%.

Overall:  Foot Locker, Inc.'s (NYSE:FL) history, the iEstimate, and the general sense among brokers suggest FL will post another bullish surprise. The most recent 10-K show that costs and expenses are in-line with sales growth, so margins should remain healthy. 

Monday, May 26, 2014

How to assess a real estate agent

Selling or buying a home can come with a lot of confusion. If you're in the market for a real estate agent, ask these questions to find the best fit:

• What's your experience? Know how long your agent has been in business, whether this is a full- or part-time job and if this professional specializes in your neighborhood or part of town (depending on the size of the area you live in). Ask the average length of time this agent's homes sit on the market, the homes' list-price-to-selling-price ratio and types of property the agent worked with.

• How will you keep me updated? Any successful relationship depends on communication. Understand the frequency and form of updates you'll receive. Indicate the level of information you expect in terms of buyer interest, new property listings, open house feedback and more.

5 Best US Stocks To Watch Right Now

• What are my home's drawbacks? Your agent must give you honest feedback to set appropriate expectations for the home buying or selling process. If you're selling, your agent needs to help you identify any issues affecting the value of your home.

• What's your strategy? Whether your agent uses a for-sale sign on your front lawn, a direct mail campaign or open houses and online marketing, make sure you're aware of the strategy and, more important, comfortable with it.

If you're buying, know what type of competing buyers are in your market, how the agent helps you search for a new home and handles multiple offers and the agent's intensity of activity. For example, does the agent drive you to prospective homes or just email you listings?

• Do you work alone? Understand if your agent handles all details solo or as part of a team. If your agent uses the team approach, find out what areas your agent specializes in and who else you may work with and in what capacity.

• How many clients do you represent? This helps you gauge how ! much of your agent's time you may receive. Is the agent spread too thin or not representing many clients at all?

The correct answer depends on your personal preference – time or experience. Preferably, your agent blends both.

• Can I see your references? Typically you find these on Yelp these days. If not, ask for at least three references from clients. When screening, ask about the agent's accessibility, personality, professionalism and communication and about the clients' satisfaction.

• How much do you charge? Most real estate fees are negotiable. Agents typically charge a percentage of the deal, averaging 2% to 4% on each side of the transaction. Percentages vary by agent; total commissions are around 6%.

Check the average for your area before going into talks. Make sure you understand the agent's cancellation policy and any other fees involved.

You can also use online assessment tools on sites like the National Association of Realtors.

• What else should I ask? Use your judgment regarding the completeness and honesty of the answer you hear.

Ensure your agent takes the time to educate you and make you feel comfortable; don't rush to make this decision or enter this relationship. Note the agent's observations about your home and effort to explain key terms without real estate jargon.

Above all, assess to your satisfaction the agent's genuine interest in helping you reach your goals.

MORE: Jeff Rose on claiming the child tax credit

MORE: Gabe Muller on apps to manage your money

MORE: Raul Elizalde on 2 problems for this market

Mary Beth Storjohann, CFP, is the founder of Workable Wealth, an RIA in San Diego, and is a member of the AdviceIQ Financial Advisors Network, which is a USA TODAY content partner offering financial news and commentary. Its content is produced independently of USA TODAY.

Sunday, May 25, 2014

Investing: Average investor smarter than you think

A 2011 Allstate survey found that 64% of Americans rated themselves "very good" or "excellent" drivers. At the same time, only 29% rated their close friends in the same way, and 22% give people their age the same rating. Even more remarkably, 56% reported being in an accident, but only 28% thought the accident was their fault.

It's human nature to think that you're better than average at most things – driving, lawn care, defusing nuclear devices. ("Step away from there. Everyone knows it's the red wire you have to cut.") The one exception may be investing. Survey after survey shows that individual investors are lousy at investing – and in fact, individual investors' rotten skills are a legendary Wall Street indicator. When you see the individual pile in to one area of the market, sages say, the smart money gets out.

The problem is that all these surveys are offered by companies that sell financial advice, and that in today's marketplace, most of the money flows are controlled by professionals, who really are the herd on the Street. While seeking advice is a wise thing, individuals aren't the nitwits they are portrayed to be, either.

Let's start with the notion that individuals are rotten investors. This stems from the 1920s, when the smart money really did have an edge. Many of those edges are now called "illegal." Large pools of money would combine to run up certain stocks, or send them tumbling, and the little guy was always in at the top and out at the bottom.

An apocryphal story has Joseph Kennedy, the late president's father, selling his stocks when offered a tip from a shoeshine boy. If everyone, including shoeshine boys, were in the market, he figured, there was no one left to buy stocks.

A favorite way to measure what the dumb money – individual investors – are doing is to look at the inflows of money to stock mutual funds. (We're talking purchases minus redemptions, or net new cash flow, in fund industry parlance.) In the 12 months ended April 30, investors ! have poured an estimated net $158 billion into stock mutual funds, which is a very large number indeed.

Golly. Those silly mutual fund investors. Bad things must be about to happen to the stock market. But there are three things wrong with this argument.

• Fund investors have been largely right. The Standard and Poor's 500 stock index has gained 18% during that period. Had you exited the stock market because you saw an influx of mutual fund investors, you would have been wrong.

• Fund investors are largely conservative. In March, the latest data available from the Investment Company Institute, the funds' trade group, showed investors had $7.9 trillion in traditional stock funds and $1.4 trillion in exchange-traded stock funds. Holy cow, that's a lot of money. But total mutual fund assets, including ETFs, were $16.3 trillion, meaning fund investors were 55% invested in stocks. By most accounts, that's a highly conservative position, especially when you consider that $2.6 trillion was in money market funds.

• Most fund investors use some form of professional help. Sixty-one percent of individuals own mutual funds outside of retirement plans. Of those, 81% bought their funds from an investment professional, the ICI says. Inside retirement plans, such as 401(k) savings plans, about 34% of investors get some form of help, with the most likely source of help being a target-date fund, says a study by Financial Engines, a company that offers financial advice, and Aon Hewitt.

The latter point bears some further examination, especially if you plan to use mutual fund flows as a contrary indicator. Just 18% of fund investors buy their funds directly from a fund company, the ICI says. The majority, but not the vast majority, use some form of professional help when they purchase funds. If you're going to argue that the individual is the dumb money, and that that mutual fund flows are a good indicator of the dumb money, you have a fundamental contradiction to deal with.

Your b! est advic! e is to not try and be a contrarian, and to disregard fund flows as a contrary indicator. A real contrarian doesn't look for trends and do the opposite. The herd, whether professional or amateur, is typically right longer than you can remain solvent, as John Maynard Keynes noted. A true contrarian looks for peak excesses of behavior, which is a lot harder than it sounds – and also why there are so few successful contrarians around.

Instead, you should try and figure out what combination of stocks, bonds and money market funds will allow you to reach your goals and sleep at night. For many people, this involves paying a professional for advice, and if that gets you to where you're going, then it's money well worth spending.

The Financial Engines survey, for example, shows that many investors are using target-date funds poorly. These funds manage your portfolio so that when you arrive at retirement, you have a proper mix of stocks, bonds and money market funds to see you through your golden years. Ideally, you should put all your money in one target-date fund and forget about it. Most people, however, seem to be just adding a target-date fund into their mix of other investments, which defeats the purpose.

Top New Companies To Watch In Right Now

And many financial professionals do lean toward low-cost funds, which is one of the single best things you can do to improve your long-term performance. So don't hesitate to seek financial advice if you feel you need it. But you're probably not as dumb as self-serving surveys would have you think.

Saturday, May 24, 2014

Stocks to Watch: Tiffany, PetSmart, American Eagle

Among the companies with shares expected to actively trade in Wednesday’s session are Tiffany(TIF) & Co., PetSmart Inc.(PETM) and American Eagle Outfitters Inc.(AEO)

Tiffany & Co. said its fiscal first-quarter profit surged 50% on broad sales growth, particularly in the Asia-Pacific region. The high-end jewelry retailer’s results easily topped expectations and the company raised its full-year earnings guidance. Shares rose 7.1% to $94.50 premarket.

PetSmart Inc. cut its full-year outlook and said its fiscal first-quarter sales missed expectations, though the company’s earnings for the quarter edged up 1.3%. Shares fell 7.9% to $57.30 premarket.

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. said its fiscal first-quarter earnings fell 86% as the teen apparel retailer was hit by weaker sales and margins. The company also announced plans to close more stores and provided fiscal second-quarter guidance below expectations. Shares fell 5.6% to $10.70 premarket.

American Realty Capital Properties Inc.(ARCP) said Wednesday it will sell its multi-tenant shopping center portfolio for $1.975 billion in cash to a Blackstone(BX) affiliate, instead of spinning off the division as it had previously announced. American Realty plans to use the proceeds to fund its Red Lobster sale-leaseback transaction. American Realty shares fell 2.3% to $12.60 premarket.

Analog Devices Inc.'s(ADI) fiscal second-quarter profit rose 14% as the chip maker reported higher revenue and stronger margins bolstered by secular and seasonal strength in the industrial, communications infrastructure, and automotive markets. Shares rose 1.3% to $52.65 premarket.

Clinical-stage biotechnology company GlycoMimetics Inc.(GLYC) and drug giant Pfizer Inc.(PFE) are moving on to a late-stage clinical trial for a sickle cell disease drug. Under terms of a 2011 agreement, development and commercialization responsibilities for GlycoMimetics’ rivipansel–a drug Target(TGT)ing complications of vaso-occlusive crisis of sickle cell disease–now shift to Pfizer. GlycoMimetics shares rose 11% to $7 premarket.

Hercules Offshore Inc.(HERO) said it signed a five-year drilling contract with Maersk Oil North Sea U.K. Ltd. valued at roughly $420 million, which is expected to commence in mid-2016. Shares rose 6.7% to $4.65 premarket.

Hormel Foods Corp.(HRL) said its fiscal second-quarter earnings rose 12%, as the packaged-foods maker posted stronger sales in its main refrigerated-foods business. However, the company said it expects earnings for the year to hit the low-end of its guidance, as higher pork, beef, turkey and avocado costs–driven by tight raw material supplies–weigh on margins. Shares fell 2.6% to $47.26.

Intuit Inc.'s(INTU) fiscal third-quarter profit rose 20% as the tax software company recorded higher revenues, bolstered by a late start to tax season. However its fiscal year outlook was slightly below expectations. Shares fell 4.7% to $73.20 premarket.

Lowe's Cos.(LOW) said an extended period of wintry weather weighed on sales in the fiscal first quarter, although its profit still rose. The home-improvement chain’s earnings topped analysts’ expectations and the retailer pointed to improved sales in May. The retailer, citing a lower tax rate, also boosted its full-year earnings outlook. Shares fell 27 cents to $45.25 premarket.

Salesforce.com Inc.'s(CRM) fiscal first-quarter loss widened as the cloud-based software vendor’s expenses offset revenue growth. The San Francisco software company, however, issued a bright outlook for the current quarter and raised its guidance for the year. Shares fell 1.9% to $51.90 premarket.

Target Corp. said its earnings fell 16% as fewer shoppers visited stores and losses from its Canada expansion mounted, highlighting the depths of the problems faced by the retailer that ousted Chief Executive Gregg Steinhafel earlier this month. The results come against the backdrop of continued weak U.S. retail sales, which rose just 0.1% in April, according to the Commerce Department. Shares edged up nine cents to $56.70 premarket.

Trina Solar Ltd.(TSL) swung to a first-quarter profit, as the China-based solar-panel maker reported stronger shipments and sales. Earnings easily surpassed expectations for the quarter. Shares rose 10% to $11.42 premarket.

Booz Allen Hamilton Holding Corp.(BAH) said its fiscal fourth-quarter earnings declined 14% as the consulting company reported weaker revenue amid uncertainties about government spending. Still, adjusted earnings beat expectations.

La Quinta Holdings Inc.'s(LQ) first-quarter revenue rose as the hotel operator gave a view of its quarterly performance before its initial public offering in April.

Friday, May 23, 2014

Home Depot: May Sales Rise But…

Amid the slaughter in stocks today, there’s been a glimmer of home: Home Depot (HD).

AJ Mast for the Wall Street Jour

The home-improvement retailer’s shares of popped today despite missing earnings forecasts after Home Depot said its May sales had been “robust.” Janney’s David Strasser and team offer a “but:”

We feel the need to add a “But” to the conversation. In Q1, big ticket growth decelerated a decent amount impacted by bad weather as OPE and roofing categories were affected. This was offset, to some degree, by unprecedented damage from burst pipes and other home improvement jobs needed after the winter. Now heading into Q2, before getting too excited about the robust sales trends, we need to better understand whether the strength is predominantly seasonal, and whether the big ticket deceleration of the last 2 quarters is weather related or housing related. We do not want to be overly critical, but HD’s stock price, for the remainder of the year, will largely depend on whether the Company can offset the slowdown in housing turns. Big ticket sales provide a key indicator of its ability to continue this strong sales growth. Several vendors have highlighted moderation in bigger ticket categories and we worry whether its indicative of a broader slowdown…We are not betting against HD, but we are concerned about betting with the housing cycle. Home prices have improved and are stabilizing, which will help, but there are several headwinds including negative turnover, higher rates, lower ownership, tight credit and slowing GDP/income levels.

Top 10 Electric Utility Companies To Watch In Right Now

Canaccord Genuity’s Laura Champine and Jason Smith prefer Home Depot to Lowe’s (LOW):

We continue to favor Home Depot over Lowe's. We view HD's execution in merchandising and in stores as superior, and we think HD will continue gaining share.

Shares of Home Depot have gained 1.7% to $77.80, while Lowe’s has dipped d0.1% to $45.52.

Tuesday, May 20, 2014

Time for advisers to get smarter about smart beta strategies

As the universe of strategic-beta products continues to swell it is refreshing to see some efforts being made to help investors and advisers understand how these strategies can be used inside portfolios, as opposed to just pointing out how much better they are than traditional indexes.

Charles Schwab & Co. is making strides in that direction with a rudimentary but effective means of integrating strategic beta into portfolios that include active and index funds.

For starters, let's point out that the most important thing anyone needs to know about strategic beta funds is that they are not traditional market-cap weighted indexes.

Beyond that, all bets are off because strategic beta products (aka, smart beta, alternative beta, fundamental indexing, enhanced indexing, quantamental indexing, etc.) are as unique as they are plentiful.

In essence, these hybrids of indexing and quantitative active management products are not helping to shed a reputation of being overly complex by using a half-dozen different phrases to identify the category. But that's what happens when something starts to take off. And take of it has.

Morningstar Inc. counts strategic beta ETF assets at nearly $350 billion, up from $175 billion two years ago.

The growth is coming from a loyal but still largely concentrated following of new believers of diversifying away from the punishing math of cap-weighted indexed investing that includes automatically adding exposure to the highest value stocks.

“I understand that financial theory says market-cap weighting is correct, but financial theory represents the way things are supposed to work,” said Rob Arnott, chief executive of Research Affiliates, a pioneer in strategic beta strategies.

“Think of a cap-weighted portfolio as having a growth tilt toward momentum and popularity,” he added.

While it is easy to make the case against cap-weighted indexing, it doesn't automatically lead to a slam-dunk sale for strategic beta, primarily because strategic beta is represented by a very diverse mix of quantitative strategies.

As Morningstar's director of passive funds research Ben Johnson explained it, “The common thread among them is that they seek to either improve their return profile or alter their risk profile relative to more-traditional market benchmarks.”

For example, the Direxion Nasdaq-100 Equal Weighted Index ETF (QQQE) offers equal exposure to each of the 100 underlying stocks in the index.

Across the universe of more than 400 strategic beta ETFs tracked by Morningstar the specific emphasis can range from volatility to value bias.

Another way of loo! king at the differences between cap-weighting and strategic beta strategies is to consider the underlying exposures.

At the end of 2013 the traditional cap-weighted S&P 500 Index had a 9.8% exposure to consumer staples, which compares to 20.8% for the S&P 500 Low Volatility Index.

On an equal-weighted basis, the same index had a 7.9% exposure to consumer staples.

The utilities sector stands out as an even more extreme example. The cap-weighted S&P had a 2.9% exposure to utilities in December, compared to 23.7% for the low-volatility index, and 6.1% for the equal-weighted S&P.

“We believe that alternative beta strategies can serve as a nice compliment to both market-cap and actively-managed funds,” said Anthony Davidow, vice president and asset allocation strategist at Schwab's center for financial research.

With that in mind, Mr. Davidow's team has developed some basic pie chart models and portfolio construction levers to help advisers to incorporate strategic beta into client portfolios.

The four key levers to determine where strategic beta might fit are tracking error, loss aversion, alpha, and cost.

Each lever is applied across a table that includes market-cap indexing, strategic beta, and active management.

For example, if tracking the broad market indexes is a high priority with an investor, a portfolio should be more heavily allocated to a market-cap index, and have a lower allocation to a strategic beta fund.

If alpha is the main objective, strategic beta is the best option along with active management, because the market-cap indexes are not designed to provide alpha.

Looked at another way, the Schwab pie-chart models offer general allocation suggestions for market exposure objectives.

Domestic large-cap growth, for example, would include a 50% allocation to strategic beta funds, 30% in market-cap indexes, and 20% in active funds.

Emerging markets exposure, meanwhile would include 50% in active management, 30% in strategic beta, and 20% in market-! cap index! es.

“We believe each style has a role in the portfolio, and each will have its day in the sun,” Mr. Davidow said. “I don't hear a lot of advisers saying they want to give up all together and allocate entirely to [strategic beta], but a lot of advisers just buy without thinking what they are getting with regard to cap-weighted indexes.”

Saturday, May 17, 2014

How to Profit When Oil and Gas Stocks Hit the Bargain Rack

Over the past week, oil and gas stocks have been quite volatile. But that's not bad news - not by a long shot.

In fact, this is always the time when energy investors should be on the hunt for bargains.

And don't worry. None of this volatility indicates the markets are on the cusp of a significant dive, even though the doomsday forecasters are out in full force.

Of course, these guys always sing the same tune, preaching Armageddon on a regular basis. After all, if nothing else, the law of averages will allow them to be right at least once!

But that's not happening anytime soon. There are simply no major problems on the horizon at the moment, even though some select energy shares have dipped.

That leaves us with what to do after the recent hiccup in oil and gas stocks.

In this case, the best approach is rather straightforward...

Get Busy When Your Oil and Gas Stocks Go on Sale

oil and gas stocksIt's called dollar-cost averaging, and it's a smart way to lower your cost basis when your shares "go on sale."

Now keep in mind this is not something you want to do with all of your holdings. Some stocks will take much longer to recover and should be sold. In fact, as a rule of thumb, I recommend you use trailing stops and stick to them.

A trailing stop is one that follows the high price of your shares from inception. As the share price climbs, the stop loss - set as a percentage - climbs right along with it. This allows investors to lock in their profits and insulates them against any deep losses. It works because it takes the emotion out of the trade.

However, when the losses occur within an acceptable range, it's smart to dollar-cost average.

Here's how to do it:

Simply select the positions among your holdings that have good fundamentals and have undergone appreciable declines beyond those justified by quarterly reports and buy them.

Even with disappointing earnings reports, companies that have strong prospects for production (upstream oil and gas operators), transport and storage volume (midstream, especially master limited partnerships and other partnerships carrying higher than average dividends), and processing/distribution (downstream refineries and wholesale sale networks able to balance domestic and imported sources of raw materials and finished products) make for secure targets.

The reason is simple. Markets tend to overreact to disappointing earnings, punishing the stocks. That means normally solid companies will bounce back quickly.

One wrinkle to consider in all of this is the so-called "wash sale rule."

If you sell shares at a loss and then decide to buy them back within 30 days, you cannot take the loss on your taxes. A sale at a reduced profit obviously does not apply here, only those where the price realized at liquidation is lower than the price at which the shares were purchased.

But let's say that you do end up selling at a loss. Does that mean dollar-cost averaging before the 30-day wash sale period is up will always result in a disadvantage?

No.

The rule is there to prevent investors from attempting to churn through a down market move with repetitive buys and sells. Depending on the situation, it may still be to your advantage to buy back in, even if that means foregoing a tax loss.

If the stock is likely to bounce back in the short term, well within the 30-day period, the resulting price at the end of the period may still be a bigger cost than the tax loss afforded by the rule. In other words, there are companies that tend to perform strong enough to make dollar-cost averaging a good move even without a tax benefit.

Remember, the objective of dollar-cost averaging is to lower your actual cost per share. So each resulting advance in the share price will hand you a greater return than you would have gained by sitting on the sidelines.

It isn't free money, but it's the next best thing.

What to Watch Out For

The biggest decision involves when to make your move. Just know that companies with good fundamentals will respond faster than the sector as a whole. That means, on average, a quality company that declines by double digits in a week will usually rebound over a similar time frame.

The exception would be during what technicians call a high-kurtosis event. This can get pretty complicated, so I'll just give you the bottom line. "Kurtosis" is something statisticians use to identify a very large deviation from the norm over a short period of time.

We have experienced this scenario a few times in the last several years, and each occasion has resulted in disproportionately negative results for energy stocks. Deviations like these happen all the time because markets are never static.

But when more of the downward moves are concentrated in short intervals, it's a sign that a kurtosis is taking place. These are not usual and they are not merely corrections. It feels like the floor has dropped away.

However, there are almost always signs such a shift is about to take place. And we have none of them currently. Unfortunately, the wild card here is always geopolitical events.

Nonetheless, for the moment, dollar-cost averaging is a safe bet with normally solid oil and gas stocks.

P.S. Talk about bargains... I've found an entire market segment that is so oversold it borders on the ridiculous. The last time it was this beaten down, a handful of stocks jumped over 1,000%. This opportunity has only happened twice in the last 100 years. You don't want to miss this...

Thursday, May 15, 2014

Chipotle authors fast-food twist

Chipotle has added some unlikely best-sellers to its roster: authors.

The Mexican, fast-casual dining chain has signed 10 best-selling writers to create ultra-short stories -- up to 250 words each -- that will appear, at least temporarily, on its bags and cups.

The move comes at a time chains in the intensely competitive fast-food industry will do just about anything to distinguish themselves. One method requiring little investment: packaging.

The story concept was the brainchild of best-selling author Jonathan Safran Foer, whose books include Extremely Loud and Incredibly Close, Eating Animals, and Everything is Illuminated. Among other top authors whose work will appear on Chipotle packaging: Toni Morrison (Beloved), Malcolm Gladwell (The Tipping Point) and Michael Lewis (Moneyball).

They pieces are aimed as two-minute readings and could tweak the concept of what fast-food packaging is for. "Packaging in fast food restaurants is typically sold to advertisers, or used to promote new, limited time menu items," says Mark Crumpacker, chief marketing officer at Chipotle. Instead, he says, "we have used it to entertain our customers using wit, humor and design."

Foer, the author who co-created the promo, says the concept is simple. "The idea of creating a small pocket of thoughtfulness right in the middle of a busy day was inspiring to me."

Chipotle spokesman Chris Arnold says he doesn't know how long the promo will last. "It's something that could certainly be replicated, and we think it could be cool to refresh every few months"

But author wannabes need not send manuscripts to Chipotle.

"We're not encouraging that, at least not now," says Arnold. "The idea here is essays from writers, authors, and other thought leaders. There really isn't a mechanism for customers to submit works of their own."

Tuesday, May 13, 2014

Election optimism boosts India stocks to record high

india modi election

Bharatiya Janata Party candidate Narendra Modi greets supporters.

HONG KONG (CNNMoney) India's benchmark index surged to a record high Tuesday after exit polls indicated that voters will deliver a mandate to Narendra Modi and the pro-business Bharatiya Janata Party.

Mumbai's Sensex index advanced more than 1% as investors reacted to polls showing the BJP-led coalition might capture a majority of seats in the lower house of parliament.

While exit poll data in India is notoriously unreliable, the results suggest that India's 815 million voters are likely to have made Modi the next prime minister. Voting ended Monday and official results will be announced Friday.

The prospect of a Modi-led government has boosted India stocks by almost 13% since the start of the year. The rupee has strengthened too, clawing its way back from a dismal performance in 2013.

Victory for a Modi-led coalition would end the Congress Party's dominance, and create an opening for a new government to implement economic reforms.

Analysts say India would benefit greatly from changes to its tax code, a reduction in excessive bureaucracy and more efficient agricultural policies. Momentum on these long-promised reforms stalled under the leadership of the Congress Party.

India's potential for growth was once mentioned in the same breath as that of China. But the world's second most populous nation and biggest democracy has failed to deliver and its economy is just a fifth the size of its Asian rival.

Economic growth has fallen below 5% in recent quarters, some of the lowest levels in years. The currency has lost more than a third of its value since 2011. Observers don't expect much improvement this year, a troubling sign for one of the world's top 10 economies.

Modi has presented himself as a candidate in the mold of a CEO, campaigning on his record of fostering low unemployment and high foreign investment as head of Gujarat state. Investors are hoping that he will be able to conjure some of the same magic on a bigger stage.

Others think it more likely that Modi's agenda will fall victim India's fractious legislative process.

"We continue to believe that the prospect of legislative action on reforms is relatively poor because of the obstructionism we expect [the Congress Party] to display," said analysts at the Eurasia Group. "Difficult structural reforms to coal, labor, electricity, a! nd agricultural marketing will progress slowly if at all."

Many observers have also expressed concern over Modi's association with Hindu nationalist causes -- a potentially destabilizing agenda.

Much of the criticism centers on Modi's handling of riots between Muslims and Hindus in 2002 that resulted in the deaths of 2,000 people. Modi was accused of not responding quickly or adequately to the tumult, but he has denied any responsibility.

Some are not convinced. The Economist won't back Modi, saying the candidate has stonewalled and refused to explain his role in the violence.

Should Modi choose to pursue a controversial agenda in office, investor sentiment could sour quickly. To top of page

Sunday, May 11, 2014

Neighbors: Dow Jones Industrials Ends Week Higher, Nasdaq Falls

Neighbors, the Seth Rogen flick about family versus frat, opens this week–and could bring in the big bucks. Box Office Mojo predicts the film could bring in $41 million in theaters this weekend and take the top spot from the Amazing Spider Man 2, whose audience isn’t supposed to be very, um, sticky. Neighbors should get a big boost from the reviews that lean heavily towards the positive. The Los Angeles Times’ Betsy Sharkey likes the film to “Animal House on steroids” that “exposes the considerable angst of emerging adulthood.” The Seattle Times’ Moira Macdonald says the “most shocking thing about the hard-R comedy Neighbors is that — surprise — it's actually rather endearing.” Rolling Stones’ Peter Travers says, “You expect hardcore hilarity from Neighbors, and you get it. It’s the nuance that sneaks up on you.”

Universal/Everett

There’s a lot of nuance in the stock market this week too. While the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 0.4% to 16,583.34 this week, a record high, the S&P 500 ticked down 0.1% to 1,878.48. And that loss was nothing compared to the one in the Nasdaq Composite, which fell 1.3% to 4,071.87, or the Russell 2000, which declined 1.9% to 1,107.22. The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (EEM) was little changed this week. The 10-year Treasury yield rose 0.032% to 2.621%.

Visa (V) gained 3.1% to $210.81 this week, making it the biggest winner in the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Investors seem to have gotten over the risk posed to Visa by Russia.

Over in the S&P 500, the surge in Electronic Arts (EA), which creamed earnings forecasts, was offset by plunge in Whole Foods Markets (WFM), which is feeling the heat from competition that’s impacting its bottom line. Electronic Arts gained 23% to $35.12, while Whole Foods Market fell 21% to $39.32.

The Nasdaq was hit hard by big losses in Tesla Motors (TSLA), which dropped 14% to $182.26 despite beating earnings forecasts on concerns about higher costs, and Wynn Resorts (WYNN), which fell 9.6% to $200.49 on worries that China would crack down on money laundering in Macau.

Bespoke Investment Group marvels at the continued strength of the S&P 500:

The S&P 500 is well above the lows that it made in early February, and this week it tested and held its 50-day moving average multiple times. The resilience of the S&P throughout this period of carnage for momentum names has been a thing to behold, and we think the argument that this is a sign of underlying stability holds just as much weight as the argument that the weakness in momentum will eventually spill over to the broad market.

Citigroup’s Tobias Levkovich considers one of the reasons for continued large-cap outperformance: Easing lending standards from big firms. He writes:

The Federal Reserve Board's senior loan officers' survey continues to support the domestic growth argument. The April survey results were released earlier this week and the trend of easing standards has been maintained, thereby lowering the cost of capital for businesses to use as hurdle rates for determining investment programs…

The better situation for larger firm financing provides another reason for large cap outperformance. Valuation and statistically driven correlated lead economic indicators not to mention high yield credit spreads already have been signaling a shift to large caps. But eased lending standards for larger firms appear to favor larger entities relative stock price performance patterns as well.

Societe Generale’s Benoit Anne thinks it’s time to get bullish on emerging markets. He explains:

Exactly one year ago, we made a call on "the end of the bull market in EM". We now believe that it is time to turn outright bullish again on global emerging markets (GEM). In fact, we have already been constructive on EM for some time. By late February, we decided that the Doom phase was now over, and in late March, we turned outright bullish on EM fixed income, having been already bullish on hard-currency debt. We now stand ready to extend our bullish call to all EM asset classes. This GEM rally has more legs to go, to be measured in months, and not simply in just a couple of weeks…

Best US Companies To Watch In Right Now

Who’s jumping on the emerging-market bandwagon?

Thursday, May 8, 2014

Globalstar (GSAT) Stock Rallies Despite Earnings Miss

NEW YORK (TheStreet) -- Globalstar (GSAT) stock is rallying on Thursday despite the company missing first-quarter revenue estimates. 

By midday, shares had climbed 5.1% to $3.08. Trading volume of 5.8 million shares was nearly triple its three-month daily average. 

Over its March-ending quarter, the company reported revenue of $20.5 million, a 6% year-over-year increase. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters expected $23.62 million. Net losses of 4 cents a share were inline with estimates. 

STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet Quant Ratings has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12 months. Learn more. TheStreet Ratings team rates GLOBALSTAR INC as a Sell with a ratings score of D. TheStreet Ratings Team has this to say about their recommendation: "We rate GLOBALSTAR INC (GSAT) a SELL. This is driven by a few notable weaknesses, which we believe should have a greater impact than any strengths, and could make it more difficult for investors to achieve positive results compared to most of the stocks we cover. The company's weaknesses can be seen in multiple areas, such as its deteriorating net income, generally high debt management risk, disappointing return on equity, poor profit margins and weak operating cash flow." You can view the full analysis from the report here: GSAT Ratings Report Must Read: Warren Buffett's 10 Favorite Growth Stocks STOCKS TO BUY: TheStreet's Stocks Under $10 has identified a handful of stocks that can potentially TRIPLE in the next 12-months. Learn more.

Stock quotes in this article: GSAT 

Wednesday, May 7, 2014

Plug-in minivan among new Chrysler vehicles

2014 dodge grand caravan

The Dodge Grand Caravan will go out of production in 2016, but there will be a new Chrysler Town & Country that will be available in a plug-in hybrid version.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) A plug-in hybrid minivan is among the new products coming from Chrysler in the next few years, according to presentations given by Fiat Chrysler Autos executives this week.

The presentations, which included glimpses of the company's future product plans, were part of an overview of the automaker's business strategy for the next five years.

It's unusual for an automaker to lay out details of future cars, trucks and SUVs but not for Fiat Chrysler CEO Sergio Marchionne who led the marathon business plan presentation five years ago, too. That one also included fairly detailed product plans.

The plug-in Town & Country minivan will go on sale around 2016, according to Chrysler, and is expected to get about 75 miles per gallon. It will be the first plug-in hybrid minivan sold in the U.S. by any major automaker.

At the same time, the Town & Country's sister-van, the nearly identical Dodge Grand Caravan, will die in 2016. Fiat Chrysler executives have been saying for a long time that having minivans sold by both brands just didn't make sense.

Gallery - Cool cars from the New York Auto Show

The minivan won't be the only plug-in hybrid option in Chrysler's line-up, either. A new Chrysler full-size plug-in hybrid crossover SUV is also coming in 2016. Like the van, it will also be available in a non-hybrid version.

These will be the first hybrids in any Chrysler, Jeep or Dodge line-up since the short-lived Chrysler Aspen and Dodge Durango hybrid SUVs which were only produced for a short time in 2008 before the factory shut down.

In all, the Chrysler brand's product line-up will be doubling, including a new Chrysler 100 compact car and a new mid-size crossover SUV.

Changes are also coming for the Jeep brand. Fiat Chrysler already unveiled the tiny new Jeep Renegade SUV at the New York Auto Show. On the other end of the size spectrum, the Jeep Grand Wagoneer full-size SUV, a name dear to Jeep aficionados, will make a comeback in 2018.

Five years ago, Chrysler Group announced that the SRT performance division would be split off as its own brand. Well, these five year plans aren't written in stone. This time, Marchionne announced that SRT would become a sub-brand under Dodge, making performance-tuned versions of Dodge products.

That also means that today's SRT Vi! per will once again be known as the Dodge Viper.

Best Viper yet   Best Viper yet

Dodge will also introduce a high-performance Dart SRT compact car in 2016 and a Journey SRT high-performance crossover SUV in 2018.

Fiat Chrysler's Italian brands are also making their own return to the U.S. Fiat already sells the tiny Fiat 500 and the larger, rounder Fiat 500L here. Coming soon will be the 500X crossover SUV and some sort of "Specialty vehicle" which could be a rumored sports car.

The Alfa Romeo brand, which hasn't sold a significant number of cars here since 1995, will make its U.S. re-introduction soon with the Alfa Romeo 4C sports car unveiled at the New York Auto Show. Higher up on the luxury scale, Maserati's new crossover SUV, the Levante, should go into production next year. The U.S. is expected to be a big market for that vehicle. To top of page

Tuesday, May 6, 2014

It's 'tumble Tuesday' for stocks

dow 12

Click for more market data.

NEW YORK (CNNMoney) Tuesday has been a lucky day for stock market bulls, but this particular Tuesday is not working out for them.

The Dow Jones industrial average, the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq were all down at midday, calling into question the recent streak of winning Tuesdays. The Dow has been off around 75 points all day.

The S&P 500 has gained every Tuesday for the past eight weeks. So far this year, the index has advanced every Tuesday except for two.

The trend has been attributed to the Federal Reserve's bond buying program, mutual fund flows and trading algorithms. But at least one trader on StockTwits seemed skeptical that there was anything particularly special about Tuesday.

"$SPY Always up on Tuesday, nothing could possib-lie go wrong," read a post by NaveenB.

Another theory is that Tuesdays are merely a reversal of losses on Monday, though that was not the case this week. Stocks ended modestly higher yesterday, just days after the Dow hit an all-time high.

With the market at such lofty levels, investors seem skeptical about pushing stocks too high. The CNNMoney Fear and Greed index shows investors are still feeling fearful.

Twitter (TWTR) shares led the plunge, hitting a new low as the "lock-up" period for company insiders to sell the stock expired. Under federal securities law, company founders and executives must wait six months before selling any shares following an initial public offering.

The stock is now trading under $35 a share -- that's still above its IPO price of $26 -- but it's the lowest trading price for the social media giant.

"Must be gut wrenching to watch your insider shares plummet from 74 to 35 before you can sell them $TWTR #imaginaryweathvanished," read a post by LincolnList.

Apple (AAPL, Fortune ! 500) shares erased earlier gains, but managed to hold above $600. The stock closed above that level Monday for the first time since October 2012. Apple recently announced a stock split that will take place in early June.

"$TWTR If you want to recover from your losses, buy $AAPL: a real company," read a post by BlackBerril.

Apple stock is an iPhenomenon   Apple stock is an iPhenomenon

Drugmaker Merck (MRK, Fortune 500) announced that it will sell its consumer care business to Bayer AG for $14.2 billion. It was the latest in a recent spate of larger mergers in the pharmaceutical industry. Merck stock is down today.

10 Best Paper Stocks To Buy Right Now

Target (TGT, Fortune 500)continues to drop. Shares are down more than 3% again today. Target's CEO announced he was stepping down yesterday, adding to concerns about the direction the company is headed.

DirecTV (DTV, Fortune 500) shares gained after the satellite TV company reported stronger-than-expected earnings, despite a quarterly slide in net profit year over year. It's one of the top performers in the S&P 500 today.

Office Depot (ODP, Fortune 500) shares also surged after announcing solid earnings and plans to close 400 stores.

Well known brands Groupon (GRPN), Disney (DIS, Fortune 500) and Whole Foods (WFM, Fortune 500) will report after the close.

For the rest of the week, analysts say the biggest market moves will be testimony from Federal Reserve Chairman Janet Yellen on Wednesday, a meeting of the European Central Bank on Thursday, and ongoing tensions in Ukraine.

In Europe, investors were parsing through major bank earnings from UBS (UBS) and Barclays (BCS)! .

Shares in Barclays fell after the British bank released worse-than-expected quarterly numbers.

Shares in UBS were inching up after the Swiss bank said it would pay a special dividend.

Credit Suisse (CS) was also in focus amid reports the bank could be hit with a criminal penalty as it negotiates with the U.S. government over charges it helped American clients avoid taxes.

Overall, European markets were mixed in morning trading. Barclays was dragging the London FTSE 100 index down.

Markets in Japan, South Korea and Hong Kong were closed Tuesday. But the other Asian markets made gains. To top of page

Sunday, May 4, 2014

Giving the Best Financial Advice to Grandkids

Print Friendly

The best thing you can do to ensure the financial security of your grandkids isn't to give them money or wealth, though that would be helpful to them. Sound advice based on the latest research and your experience is what the younger generations need more of, and they aren't likely to get that advice from their schools or accept it from their parents.

The population following the Baby Boomers is in bad financial shape, according to research by Pew Charitable Trusts. The first half of the Baby Boom generation looks to be the last group to retire with enough income and assets to maintain their lifestyles. The following generations so far have less savings and lost a higher percentage of their net worth in the crash following the financial crisis.

A key problem for those following the Boomers is that they are accumulating debt at a faster rate than their predecessors. Not long ago it was hard to believe that any generation could accumulate more debt than the early Boomers, but the younger generations are doing so, according to Pew. College loans are a key component of that debt, but not the only factor. The younger generations also have credit cards available to them at earlier ages and are users of them and other extended payment plans that weren't available to the earlier generations.

More importantly, younger generations aren't saving nearly enough money for the future. They lag behind previous generations in accumulating savings in their early years. That's doubly bad, because the post-Baby Boom generations likely will need to save money at a greater rate than previous generations.

The Baby Boomers benefited from the post-World War II global boom but especially the boom in the U.S. Extended bull markets in both stocks and bonds boosted the net worth of the Boomers, the early Boomers in particular, despite anemic savings rates. The housing bull market that lasted decades also helped the b! alance sheets of the Boomers.

The younger generations can't count on similar bull markets to offset low savings rates and high debt levels. Social Security and Medicare will still be available but they probably won't provide as many benefits to the younger generations. Employer benefits for retirees also are going to be far less generous in the future.

Saving money is vitally important to financial independence. In fact, other recent research indicates that savings rates are more important to financial security than earning high investment returns or a high income.

Investors with over $5 million in investable assets say that saving early and regularly was the key factor in their financial security, according to a survey by PNC Wealth Management.

Financial security requires a higher savings rate than many people realize. To have a high probability of saving enough to withstand most investment environments, young workers should save 16.62% of their salary for 30 years, according to research by economist Wade Pfau. He refers to this as the safe savings rate.

The optimum savings rate for someone can be determined only after the fact, knowing the investment environments during both the accumulation and the spending years as well as the investment choices made by an individual. Pfau's goal was to determine the savings rate that would provide security over most investment environments.

Pfau ran numbers for a number of different environments and several investment strategies. The optimum savings rate varied widely, but the 16.62% consistently provided enough money for retirement under the most circumstances.

Of course, the longer one waits to save, the higher the savings rate has to be. Pfau assumed a person saved for 30 years in order to have money to spend for at least 30 years. If someone waits to begin saving and saves for only 20 years, the safe savings rate jumps to over 30%. But beginning to save early and delaying retirement so that the savings period is 4! 0 years r! educes the safe savings rate to 8.77%.

Perhaps more importantly, a long, steady period of saving reduces the importance of investment markets in the years just before and after the retirement starting date. When people wait to save and accumulate just enough to meet their retirement goals, their financial security is very dependent on investment performance in the 10 years before retirement begins and the first 10 years of retirement. They depend on the last few years of investment performance before retirement to compound their modest nest egg into one that is big enough to sustain their retirement. That's a big risk and can be reduced by saving more money earlier. Not saving early enough is why we hear that so many people plan to delay retirement.

Also, the earlier you begin saving the more work the investment markets do for you. In the past I've discussed my "70% rule." Suppose a young person decides to save $3,000 annually for all his working years and earns 6% annually on that money. After 34 years of saving, investment returns will comprise over 70% of his retirement nest egg, while his contributions are less than 30%. Start saving early, and the markets will do most of the work for you through compounding. But wait to save, and sacrificing current consumption in those later years will bear most of the burden. Your contributions will make up a much higher percentage of the nest egg, and in many cases will dwarf the contribution of market returns.

Young savers also shouldn't try to earn the highest investment returns or seek the hottest investments. That's playing the lottery with your retirement savings. Instead, begin your savings plan with a balanced fund such as PIMCO All Asset All Authority, MainStay Marketfield, Vanguard Wellington, or FPA Crescent (currently closed to new investors). Or own several of these funds. It's important always to have a balanced portfolio so you earn steady solid returns and have a margin of safety for your financial security.

Saturday, May 3, 2014

When It Comes to Solar, Buy American

Last week, the Cleantech Group and Heslin Rothenberg Farley & Mesiti P.C. co-released their 2013 Clean Energy Patent Growth Index, which tracks clean energy patents issued by the United States Patent and Trademark Office. The index is meant to depict a trajectory of innovative activity in the clean energy sector. Among its highlights: 

Solar, with 965 patents, was the No. 1 technology, overtaking fuel cells. And each year, the technology commands a greater share of patent activity:

Image credit: Clean Energy Patent Growth Index.

The United States was, by far, the No. 1 awarded country, with 556 of those 965 patents (56%). The United States' proportion of solar patents (56%) outsized its proportion of non-solar clean energy patents (45% ex-solar). Japan, projected to be 2014's No. 2 solar market, came in second with 107 patents (17%) awarded.  China, 2014's No. 1 projected solar market, amassed just 18 patents in 5th place.  Germany, to which the solar industry owes much for its rate of advancement, placed 4th.

Potential home-court advantage aside, the numbers indicate the U.S. is and will continue to be the hub for solar innovation, which is why SunPower (NASDAQ: SPWR  ) and First Solar (NASDAQ: FSLR  ) warrant consideration for any solar investor. SunPower, which touts the highest-efficiency commercially available panels has long demonstrated its R&D prowess. In 2013, SunPower took home second solar prize with 28 patents awarded (compared to 10 for First Solar). 

Top Industrial Disributor Companies To Invest In 2015

But what's more impressive is where SunPower stacks up against non-solar giants. The solar-only, San Jose-company actually makes the top 25 of all clean energy patents issued since 2002-a list that includes the likes of GM, Toyota, GE, and Siemens. 

Image credit: Clean Energy Patent Growth Index.

Innovation is at the core of what SunPower does. The company has a nearly three-decade track record in the industry and has long been hailed as the efficiency leader. As Apple reminded Blackberry, in addition to countless other but no less fitting examples, if you're not innovating, you're not winning. And if you're not winning, you're losing. 

You don't want to miss this
The Economist compares this disruptive invention to the steam engine and the printing press. Business Insider says it's "the next trillion dollar industry." And everyone from BMW, to Nike, to the U.S. Air Force is already using it every day. Watch The Motley Fool's shocking video presentation today to discover the garage gadget that's putting an end to the Made In China era... and learn the investing strategy we've used to double our money on these 3 stocks. Click here to watch now!

 

Friday, May 2, 2014

3 Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher

DELAFIELD, Wis. (Stockpickr) -- At Stockpickr, we track daily portfolios of stocks that are the biggest percentage gainers and the biggest percentage losers.

>>5 Stocks Under $10 Set to Soar

Stocks that are making large moves like these are favorites among short-term traders because they can jump into these names and try to capture some of that massive volatility. Stocks that are making big-percentage moves either up or down are usually in play because their sector is becoming attractive or they have a major fundamental catalyst such as a recent earnings release. Sometimes stocks making big moves have been hit with an analyst upgrade or an analyst downgrade.

Regardless of the reason behind it, when a stock makes a large-percentage move, it is often just the start of a new major trend -- a trend that can lead to huge profits. If you time your trade correctly, combining technical indicators with fundamental trends, discipline and sound money management, you will be well on your way to investment success.

>>Must-See Charts: 5 Big Trades for May

With that in mind, let's take a closer look at a several stocks under $10 that are making large moves to the upside.

ChemoCentryx

ChemoCentryx (CCXI), a biopharmaceutical company, focuses on the discovery, development, and commercialization of orally-administered therapeutics to treat autoimmune diseases, inflammatory disorders, and cancer in the U.S. This stock closed up 6.7% to $5.85 in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $5.34-$5.89

52-Week Range: $4.57-$14.96

Thursday's Volume: 247,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 285,990

From a technical perspective, CCXI jumped sharply higher here with decent upside volume. This stock recently formed a double bottom chart pattern at $4.97 to $5.07. Following that bottom, shares of CCXI have started to spike higher and move within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if CCXI manages to take out Thursday's high of $5.89 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $5.99 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in CCXI as long as it's trending above those double bottom support zones and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 285,990 shares. If that breakout hits soon, then CCXI will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 50-day moving average of $6.68 to $7, or its 200-day moving average at $7.10.

Quiksilver

Quiksilver (ZQK) designs, develops, markets, and distributes branded apparel, footwear, accessories, and related products primarily for men, women, and children. This stock closed up 4% to $6.68 a share in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $6.29-$.6.69

52-Week Range: $4.81-$9.29

Thursday's Volume: 2.36 million

Three-Month Average Volume: 1.38 million

From a technical perspective, ZQK ripped sharply higher here right above some near-term support at $6.14 with above-average volume. This stock recently formed a double bottom chart pattern at $6.21 to $6.14. Following that bottom, shares of ZQK have started to spike higher and move within range of triggering a big breakout trade. That trade will hit if ZQK manages to take out Thursday's high of $6.69 to some more near-term overhead resistance at $6.73 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ZQK as long as it's trending above those double bottom support levels and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 1.38 million shares. If that breakout triggers soon, then ZQK will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 50-day moving average of $7.33 to $8. Any high-volume move above those levels will then give ZQK a chance to tag its next major overhead resistance levels at $8.28 to $9.

Onconova Therapeutics

Onconova Therapeutics (ONTX), a clinical-stage biopharmaceutical company, focuses on discovering and developing small molecule drug candidates to treat cancer. This stock closed up 2.5% to $5.72 a share in Thursday's trading session.

Thursday's Range: $5.50-$5.83

52-Week Range: $5.25-$31.13

Thursday's Volume: 156,000

Three-Month Average Volume: 362,549

From a technical perspective, ONTX jumped modestly higher here right above some near-term support at $5.40 with lighter-than-average volume. This stock has been trending sideways and consolidating for the last month, with shares moving between $5.25 on the downside and $6.27 on the upside. This spike higher on Thursday is starting to push shares of ONTX within range of triggering a big breakout trade above the upper-end of its recent sideways trading chart pattern. That trade will hit once ONTX manages to take out some key near-term overhead resistance levels at $6 to $6.27 with high volume.

Traders should now look for long-biased trades in ONTX as long as it's trending above some key near-term support levels at $5.40 to its 52-week low of $5.25 and then once it sustains a move or close above those breakout levels with volume that hits near or above 362,549 shares. If that breakout kicks off soon, then ONTX will set up to re-test or possibly take out its next major overhead resistance levels at its 50-day moving average of $6.90 to $8, or even $8.50.

Best Long Term Stocks To Buy Right Now

To see more stocks that are making notable moves higher, check out the Stocks Under $10 Moving Higher portfolio on Stockpickr.

-- Written by Roberto Pedone in Delafield, Wis.


RELATED LINKS:



>>3 Stocks Rising on Unusual Volume



>>4 Stupid Reasons to Sell Apple



>>5 Stocks With Big Insider Buying

Follow Stockpickr on Twitter and become a fan on Facebook.

At the time of publication, author had no positions in stocks mentioned.

Roberto Pedone, based out of Delafield, Wis., is an independent trader who focuses on technical analysis for small- and large-cap stocks, options, futures, commodities and currencies. Roberto studied international business at the Milwaukee School of Engineering, and he spent a year overseas studying business in Lubeck, Germany. His work has appeared on financial outlets including

CNBC.com and Forbes.com.

You can follow Pedone on Twitter at www.twitter.com/zerosum24 or @zerosum24.


Thursday, May 1, 2014

How Will a New CEO Change Ford Motor Company?

Ford Chief Operating Officer Mark Fields talked to the Motley Fool in New York last month. Photo: Rex Moore/The Motley Fool.

It's official: Ford (NYSE: F  ) announced on Thursday that CEO Alan Mulally, 68, will retire on July 1. 

As we've all expected for a while now, his replacement will be Chief Operating Officer Mark Fields, a 25-year Ford veteran who has had successful runs leading several of the company's key business units.

Does this mean that Ford is in for a major change in direction? Not likely. Here's why.

Fields was a leading architect of Ford's transformation
Mulally is known most of all for the "One Ford" plan. One Ford was the blueprint for the company's turnaround, and it continues to serve as the basis for Ford's ongoing approach around the world.

One Ford grew out of an earlier plan called "The Way Forward," which was the automaker's blueprint for transforming its money-losing North American division into a source of sustainable profits. 

The first version of that plan was created in 2005, before Mulally arrived. Who created it? Several senior Ford executives were involved, but Fields was its chief architect and the one who sold it to Ford's board of directors.

Fields was running Ford's North American and South American regions at the time. He was the operating guy who made the turnaround happen -- who implemented One Ford and brought North America from steady losses to a 10% operating profit margin. 

So will Fields change the plan? Probably not, as he has been a key participant since the beginning.

Mulally's most important achievement won't be unwound
In announcing the transition at a press conference on Thursday morning, Executive Chairman Bill Ford repeatedly emphasized how Mulally had led a sea change in Ford's culture, and how that change was key to the company's turnaround.

Hot Railroad Stocks To Own Right Now

I wrote about the importance of that change recently, and it was something that Mulally reemphasized to me when we spoke last week. 

It's clear that Fields fully buys in to what he calls the "working together" culture at Ford. It's also clear that Bill Ford, who said on Thursday that he regards himself as the "keeper of Ford's institutional memory," will work closely with Fields to make sure that things stay on track.

So how will Fields change Ford?
It's hard to say, and we may not know for a while. But in the near term, I don't think things will change very much. Given Ford's recent run of success, that's a good thing.

But some sort of change is likely, because as Fields pointed out on Thursday, he and Mulally are different people with different approaches. Mulally came to Ford after spending much of his career at Boeing. He did not have an intense interest in cars or the car business.

But Fields is a Ford guy through and through -- and a product guy, and a "car guy." Fields has a passion for cars and the car business, and some very clear ideas about the kinds of products Ford should offer. That may not mean big changes are on the way, but it's something to keep in mind. 

I don't think we'll see dramatic changes to Ford's product-development approach in the near term -- after all, Fields has been running the automaker's global new-product programs (along with much of the rest of Ford) for over a year now as chief operating officer.

But in time, the new boss may be seen as a more aggressive driver of certain aspects of Ford's new vehicles. It won't be so much a sea change as a shift in emphasis, a difference in style.

Fields often talks about "accelerating" Ford's rate of innovation, its product plans, and so forth. Again, I don't think this is meaningfully different from Mulally's approach, but it's possible Fields will push to shorten Ford's product cycles around the world.

The upshot: A boring transition that Ford's shareholders should cheer
How do you replace an iconic CEO?

As Bill Ford emphasized on Thursday, the process of replacing what he called a "Hall of Fame" CEO is often very messy. But thanks to years of careful planning, Ford's transition from the Mulally era to the Fields era is looking about as tidy as it gets. 

From left to right, Alan Mulally, Bill Ford, and Mark Fields at a press conference announcing the company's leadership transition on Thursday. All three emphasized that a smooth transition was under way. Photo: Ford

For over a year, Ford has been signaling that Fields was the leading candidate to replace Mulally. When he was given the COO role, it was seen as something of an audition for the CEO job, or alternatively, as a way for him to functionally take charge of the company while Mulally was still there to guide and mentor him.

Apparently, Bill Ford, Alan Mulally, and Ford's board were all happy with his performance in that audition, because he got the gig. Later this year, we'll get our first glimpse at what he plans to do with it.

The biggest thing to come out of Silicon Valley in years
If you thought the iPod, the iPhone, and the iPad were amazing, just wait until you see this. One hundred of Apple's top engineers are busy building one in a secret lab. And an ABI Research report predicts 485 million of them could be sold over the next decade. But you can invest in it right now... for just a fraction of the price of AAPL stock. Click here to get the full story in this eye-opening new report.